Air Force
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
7  Hannah Everson SR 19:24
269  Gillespie Carina SO 20:30
293  Samantha Skold JR 20:34
351  Katherine Burnham SO 20:41
514  Lindy Long JR 20:56
822  Giulianna Vessa SO 21:21
1,691  Jaci Smith FR 22:22
2,610  Shanna Burns FR 23:37
National Rank #34 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 22.4%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 25.2%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hannah Everson Gillespie Carina Samantha Skold Katherine Burnham Lindy Long Giulianna Vessa Jaci Smith Shanna Burns
Washington Invitational 10/02 720 19:48 20:49 20:29 20:42 20:27 23:13
Rocky Mountain Shootout 10/03 22:33
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 728 19:30 20:27 20:39 20:31 21:11 22:15
Mountain West Championships 10/30 707 18:51 20:38 20:18 20:48 21:03 21:14 24:17
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 739 19:23 20:10 20:56 20:51 21:00 21:28
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:31





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 22.4% 24.9 596 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.1 0.2
Region Championship 100% 6.4 190 0.1 3.8 7.4 13.9 20.6 28.5 21.0 4.0 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Everson 100.0% 15.1 0.4 1.9 3.3 4.3 3.9 4.8 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.9 2.7 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.8
Gillespie Carina 23.3% 159.5
Samantha Skold 22.7% 168.8
Katherine Burnham 22.5% 186.7
Lindy Long 22.4% 218.6
Giulianna Vessa 22.4% 244.0
Jaci Smith 22.6% 252.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Everson 4.2 12.0 11.0 11.3 13.2 11.4 10.6 9.1 6.7 5.2 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Gillespie Carina 37.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.4 2.2
Samantha Skold 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.2
Katherine Burnham 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
Lindy Long 58.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Giulianna Vessa 77.8
Jaci Smith 120.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 3.8% 79.9% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 3.0 3
4 7.4% 61.2% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.3 2.9 4.5 4
5 13.9% 36.3% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 8.9 5.1 5
6 20.6% 25.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.2 15.4 5.1 6
7 28.5% 13.9% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.6 24.6 4.0 7
8 21.0% 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 20.4 0.6 8
9 4.0% 4.0 9
10 0.6% 0.6 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 22.4% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.3 3.5 4.8 6.7 77.6 0.1 22.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Yale 19.5% 1.0 0.2
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 2.0 0.2
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Gonzaga 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0